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Back to the temperature of the solar energy industry in the next four years
2012-06-04 by seoer2
2011 global solar industry twists and turns in the most turbulent year near off a number of consulting companies have made the development of the industry in the next few years, prospects and forecasts. Among them, the forecast of IDC energy point of view the analysis company (IDCEnergyInsights,) to the haze of the solar vacuum tubes industry to bring the Good News of a long absence.
IDC data is quite exciting, its solar modules market in the next four years, analysis of expected battery components in worldwide shipments in 2015 rose from 22.7 GW to 43.8 GW.
20,092,010 years, the solar modules market to European countries such as Germany, the Czech Republic, Italy and Spain as the center, about 80 percent of global sales, IDC said. But with the changes in the price of national policies, subsidies, and battery components, battery components market center will be reversed, from Europe to Asia-Pacific region.
The data show that in 2015, Asia-Pacific region of the solar cell module shipments share from 22.9% in 2011 expanded to 49.3%. On the contrary, the shipment share of Europe in 2015 from 66.4% in 2011 down to 38.7%.
The solar energy market report released by market research firm in mid-IHSiSuppli12 month pointed out that, after 20,092,010 two years in the first place, it is estimated that Germany 2011 will lose the world's top solar market position, slide the second, and Italy is expected to surpass Germany won the top .
IHS data show that in 2011 German solar power system installation is expected from the 7.4 GW in 2010, down to 5.9 GW, down 20 percent. Italy will rise to 6.9 GW from 3.6 GW in 2010, almost doubling. In addition, the third largest in the United States, the installed capacity of solar power system is expected in 2011 to 2.7 GW at 1.7 GW fourth.
Asia-Pacific region, particularly China and India, more than the European countries have become the largest region of the global solar cell module shipments in the coming years. The past year, the objectives to be achieved in 2015 from 5 GW to 10 GW, while China is likely in 2012 to further increase this target. Ryan Rees, an energy analyst at IDC said.
According to the latest report of the American Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) and U.S. renewable energy industry market research firm GTM Research Corporation (GTMResearch) solar systems in the third quarter of installed capacity by 140 percent jump over last year's 187.3 MW to the single-season record high of 449 MW installed capacity more than 2009 full-year.
In fact, the U.S. solar power system installed capacity jumped by the 1603 program of the federal government, the 1603 Plan will expire on December 31, 2011, if the U.S. is no longer an extension, the installation may be the end of 2012 or 2013 the beginning of slowing down.
The residential market is still very active in the solar industry, SEIA said. Installation declining for two consecutive quarters of U.S. residential installation before the end of the last quarter of this year, rebounded 21 percent over last year.
In fact, this year on the double whammy of domestic and international market competition, the America's solar panels and inverter prices dropped significantly, thereby bringing about a decline in the cost of power generation system is installed. The data show that the average cost of U.S. residential installation has been reduced to $ 6.24 from $ 6.41 per watt in the previous relatively strong markets such as California and New Jersey, the price is only $ 5 / W or even lower.
GTM analyst Shara Kahn said, the substantial expansion of the residential market and the 1603 plan off can not, the program for solar street lamps energy companies to invest more than 22 billion U.S. dollars of loans to help the development of residential solar energy industry. If not extended, will have many large utility companies to impact, because most of them rely on the scheme subsidies in order to continue to develop business. He said.
The SEIA main Xiluoenlei Shi said: The solar industry needs a stable government policy on this basis that the company can more boldly feel free to. The continued development of the solar industry and create more employment opportunities, we hope to extend the period of 1603 program.